Air Freight Market Update
October 2026
What’s shaping Air Freight in 2026? Explore how various dynamics are impacting global Air Cargo.
Global Air Cargo Update
Demand
- Global air cargo demand grew 5% year on year in August 2026 with growth increasingly concentrated on transpacific and alternative trade lanes.
- Europe–North America demand increased 11% year on year in August 2026 and provided an additional source of growth beyond Asia-centric lanes.
Capacity
- Global air cargo capacity increased 3% year on year in September 2026 with freighter capacity growing faster than belly capacity.
- Asia–North America capacity rose 11% year on year in September 2026 as capacity continued shifting toward transpacific markets.
Regulation/ News
- Global air cargo rates remained stable at $3.04/kg in Week 38 despite significant increases in jet fuel prices.
- EASA reported that sustainable aviation fuel reached 2.8% of total EU aviation fuel supply in 2025 which exceeded the mandatory target.
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Regional Air Freight News
Europe
- Capacity pressure increased on Europe–North America lanes as rerouted cargo raised demand for transatlantic uplift.
- European customs changes continued to suppress China–Europe e-commerce volumes.
- Middle East and Africa disruptions continued to pressure European rates and connectivity.
Asia
- Asian demand increased 10% YoY in September 2026 amid strong AI-related and technology shipments.
- Capacity grew 3% YoY through 25 October 2026 and remained below demand growth.
- Rates increased 26% YoY in September 2026 as limited capacity supported yields.
Middle East & Africa
- Gulf capacity remained constrained due to operational disruptions at key Saudi Arabian airports.
- Chinese e-commerce volumes increasingly shifted towards Africa and the Middle East following EU customs changes.
- Recovering Asian exports and Southern African perishables are expected to increase seasonal demand pressure.
Americas
- High-tech and AI-related commodities continued to drive transpacific demand and rates.
- Flooding in Thailand created an operational bottleneck on transpacific lanes.
- Latin American perishables exports increased due to berry and flower shipments from several origins.
Detailed Air Freight Market Update
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