DHL Global Connectedness Report 2026

Based on more than 9 million data points tracking international flows of trade, capital, information, and people, the report offers the most comprehensive view of globalisation available – making it an essential resource for any business with cross-border trade ambitions.

Global Trade in 2026: Holding Firm in an Era of Uncertainty

Despite a volatile 2025 shaped by tariff hikes, geopolitical friction, and ongoing uncertainty around global supply chains, international trade proved more resilient than many expected. The DHL Global Connectedness Report 2026 shows that the world’s level of globalisation held steady at 25% last year – matching the record high first reached in 2022. In other words, cross-border flows of goods, capital, information, and people have not retreated. Businesses may be adapting, but they are not pulling back from global markets.

Trade performance in 2025 was particularly striking. Global goods trade grew faster than in any year since 2017 (excluding the pandemic rebound). Early in the year, U.S. importers accelerated shipments ahead of new tariff increases. At the same time, China redirected exports toward non-U.S. markets, sustaining overall global volumes. Meanwhile, surging investment in AI infrastructure drove significant increases in trade for semiconductors, data transmission equipment, and other AI-related products – which, according to WTO estimates, accounted for 42% of goods trade growth in the first three quarters of the year.

Looking ahead, higher tariffs are expected to modestly slow – but not reverse – trade expansion. Global goods trade is projected to grow at an average annual rate of 2.6% through 2029, in line with the past decade. Crucially, most global trade flows do not involve the United States, and many countries are actively diversifying partnerships and negotiating new trade agreements. The result is a global trading system that is continuing to stretch across longer distances and connect markets worldwide.

All of which means that the outlook for cross-border business remains positive. Global trade is not retreating – it is reconfiguring. Companies that understand where flows are strengthening and which markets are deepening ties will be well positioned to capture new growth. And that’s where the insights from the DHL Global Connectedness Report are invaluable.

Key Takeaways from the DHL Global Connectedness Report 2026

The report has the insights to help your business find new markets – DHL Express has the international logistics expertise to get you there.

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