For some Kenyan retailers, the biggest sales periods come before schools reopen. For others, it may be the December festive season, Easter, a major promotion or a seasonal peak within a specific product category.
A predictable rise in demand should lead to a predictable procurement deadline.
If you expect December sales to climb, for instance, work backwards from the date when additional stock should be available in your shops or warehouse. Your timeline must account for supplier lead times, transport and the time needed to receive, sort and distribute the goods.
Retailers operating across several counties face another challenge. Having enough stock in a central warehouse does not mean you have enough stock where customers want to buy it.
Inventory may need to move from Nairobi to Mombasa, Kisumu, Nakuru, Eldoret or other locations before it reaches the point of sale. Cross-county distribution should therefore be built into the procurement plan from the start, rather than treated as a separate logistics task.
Prepare for unexpected changes in demand
Even the best procurement plan cannot predict everything.
A product may sell faster than expected. A supplier might miss a production deadline. A shipment could be delayed. One branch may run out of a popular item while another is sitting on excess stock.
The right response depends on where the goods are and how urgently they are needed.
For stock already in Kenya, retailers may be able to rebalance inventory between branches, bring forward another supplier delivery or use structured, trackable domestic transport to move products across counties.
For international supply, ocean freight can handle planned bulk inventory, while air freight may be used for smaller, time-sensitive replenishment when the cost is justified.
The goal is not to base every procurement plan on the fastest or most expensive shipping option. It is to understand the available choices before a shortage turns into an emergency.